US Economic Outlook 2025 - Q2: Balancing Vigilance with Optimism
Balancing Vigilance with Optimism The second quarter of 2025 was anything but quiet—marked by Liberation Day (and the quick policy reversal shortly thereafter), Moody’s downgrade of US debt to Aa1, and a flash point in the Middle East between Israel (and its ally the US) and Iran. Yet if we’d simply hibernated for three months, we would be waking up to global equity markets that were up over 11% for the quarter, resulting in a 10.1% return through the first